File 026134
Ukrainian Banking Investment Analysis and Ukrsib Bank Proposal (File 026134)
A detailed investment proposal dated June 12, 2017 regarding banking opportunities in Ukraine, including economic and political analysis, banking sector overview, and a recommendation to acquire Ukrsib Bank through a negotiated transaction with BNP Paribas and EBRD.
Summary
This document presents a comprehensive investment analysis for acquiring a stake in the Ukrainian banking sector during a period of economic recovery and IMF-supported reforms. The author provides detailed economic and political context, analyzes the competitive banking landscape, and specifically recommends Ukrsib Bank as the optimal acquisition target. The proposal includes financial analysis, asset quality assessment, and projected investment returns of 25%+ IRR, with an estimated acquisition price of EUR 110 million for a 90% stake.
Kiev, 12 June 2017Dear George,Re: Ukrainian Banking OpportunityFurther to our discussion, I am sending a brief presentation on the prospect ofestablishing a banking footprint in Ukraine through the acquisition of a bank.Currently the central bank in Ukraine, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) is notkeen to issue new banking licenses but urge prospective investors to acquire anexisting license.The main drivers for my positive stance on investing in the banking sector inUkraine are:▪ the improving economy following the IMF program with demanding butrequired structural reforms, with real GDP growth expected to reach 4% in2020;▪ the improving political conditions in terms of the conflict with Russia withthe support of NATO;▪ the recent developments in the EU-Ukraine relationship with the abolition ofvisa and the prospect of concluding the Association Agreement in July;▪ the investment and commitments from supranational institutions so far(EBRD: c. US$6 billion being the third largest exposure of the bank afterTurkey and Russia, World Bank: c. US$5 billion);▪ the significant restructuring efforts in ensuring a healthier banking sectorfollowing AQR that resulted to the nationalization of the biggest bankPrivatbank and the closing of half of the banks (over 90 banks), and thepreparation of the state sector banks (52% share of assets) for privatizationin the next 2 to 3 years; and▪ the current landscape of the banking sector that allows organic expansionbecause of very few notable foreign banks that have the ability to developbusiness or, even more, to exploit the potential for consolidating the bankingsector where government owns 52% in a market with increasing trend inloans and deposits and high commission income.1!EconomyFollowing a severe crisis in 2014-15, the economy is growing again-by 2.3 percentin 2016-and the flexible exchange rate and tight fiscal and monetary policies havegreatly reduced internal and external imbalances. GDP, which declined from itspeak of US$183 billion in 2013 to US$90 billion in 2015, is now recovering at agrowth above 2% and is expected to grow at 3.2% in 2018. Growth is projected at3.5%-4% in the medium term (IMF).The current account deficit fell sharply, from over 9% of GDP in 2013 to 3.6% ofGDP in 2016 and reserves-while still low-have more than doubled to US$17.6billion (end of 2017 target at US$21.3 billion). The overall fiscal deficit-includingthe energy sector’s quasi-fiscal losses, which had increased to 10 percent of GDPin 2014, declined to 2.3% of GDP in 2016, supported by strong spending controland the decision to raise energy tariffs to market levels.Inflation has fallen steadily from its peak of 61% in April 2015 to 12.4% by end-2016, well within the target range of the NBU. It is projected to reach 9% in 2017and 5% in the medium term.Ukraine has entered into a 4-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) with IMF inMarch 2015 for US$17.5 billion. Following the third review by IMF the fourthtranche of US$1 billion was approved which would bring total disbursementsunder the arrangement to about US$8.38 billion. The EFF aims to put the economyon the path to recovery, restore external sustainability, strengthen public finances,maintain financial stability, and support economic growth by advancing structuraland governance reforms, while protecting the most vulnerable.The Ukrainian administration showed commitment to reforms by nationalising thelargest private bank, Privatbank, and liquidating over 100 banks within 3 years.2Also, collection of taxes has increased significantly (34% increase in 2 years) andspending has been contained while at the same time energy/utility tariffs haveincreased dramatically at full cost recovery basis.The main reforms agreed with the IMF include the privatisation of large stateenterprises such as the Odessa Portside Plant and Centrenergo, the lifting of theembargo on the sale of agricultural land to foreigners, the raising of the pensionage, the restructuring of the health system and the increase in efforts combatingcorruption.Most of these reforms, although not expected to be completed in the immediateterm, they are expected to be implemented in a gradual process.For example, land reform may be initiated partially by privatising state agriculturalland (1 billion hectares). 25% of world’s black-earth soil is in Ukraine, consideredthe most fertile and productive agricultural land. Over 70% of Ukraine isagricultural land valued at US$100 billion. Ukraine is the biggest exporter insunflower oil globally, 2 nd in world grain exporter after the US and 3 rd in cornexports globally. The land reform is expected to elevate the country’s performancewith significant FDIs from international investors.On the pension front, the Cabinet of Ministers approved the draft of the pensionreform-IMF and World Bank already supported the draft- and will discuss it at theNational Reform Council, to be then submitted to the Rada (parliament). Thepension reform was long overdue, given that the Pension Fund deficit reachedUAH 140 billion or 6.3% of GDP in 2016. Pension reform is considered to be oneof the most socially sensitive reforms the government is planning to implementunder the current IMF Extended Arrangement. However, it seems that thegovernment has managed to avoid the most unpopular measure of increasing thestatutory pension age while increasing the effective pension age. The proposedreform will assist in reducing the deficit starting from mid-2018.The implementation of the reforms should assist the government in managing thedebt profile of the country presented below. While there is no imminent need forIMF disbursements, 2019 (presidential and parliamentary) elections coincide witha US$7 billion peak of public sector FX needs, while US$12 billion is due in totalin 2017-19. The authorities need to secure sufficient FX funding in advance, whilethe alternative funding sources are limited. The FX reserves increased to US$17billion, but cover 3.8 months of imports only.As already described in the recent IMF review, Ukraine is expected to re-access theinternational capital market as early as the second part of 2017 supported by theimproved debt profile resulting from the recent debt operation (perimeter of thedebt operation included sovereign and sovereign guaranteed Eurobonds, City ofKyiv Eurobonds, Guaranteed Commercial Loans and SOE debt) for a total nominal3!value of USD 19.3 billion). The debt profile has become more favorable with theincrease of the share of official debt, a decline in the foreign currency debt shareand the very low share of short term debt. This should effectively make easier therefinancing of the debt in 2019 and 2020.The synthesis of the current parliament allows the government to push for reformsin 2017 and early 2018 before they turn to populist measures just before elections.Leading the country off-track with the IMF program will surely limit even furtherthe funding resources of the country.PoliticsEU has verified its support by (i) lifting its visa requirements to Ukrainian citizensfor traveling, a long awaited move that embeds symbolism of support and (ii)following the vote by the Dutch parliament to support Ukraine’s AssociationAgreement, it is expected that the ratification of the Association Agreement,including the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area component will be ratifiedin the Ukraine-EU Summit on July 13.NATO has also shown strong support to Ukraine by providing various forms ofassistance through advice and training to strengthen its defence by buildingstronger security structures. The Ukrainian defence industry may also getpermission to participate in tenders for the supply of goods and services for NATO.4Last week Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Pavlo Klimkin stated that he expects anexpanded partnership between Ukraine and NATO will lead Ukraine to amembership in the Alliance following a path similar to that of Montenegro.With regard to the United States, for now President Trump’s ambiguouspositioning in Russian affairs seems to have little impact on the U.S.Administration's Ukraine policy. The Administration is expected to continue itssupport for the actions of NATO, the IMF and Secretary of State Tillerson hasreaffirmed in April 2017 that the U.S. will not lift sanctions against Russia as longPresident Putin does not hand Crimea back to Kiev.In internal politics, we would expect Mr Poroshenko, the President of Ukraine, tosign the Association Agreement, thus improving his diminishing ratings and towin the presidential elections in 2019. In my opinion, Mr Poroshenko is alsodelaying the elections in the conflict zone of Donbass, a major requirementfeatured in the Minsk Agreement, in order to avoid the negation of his goodperformance on the European prospect, and then, assessing the Russian conflictsituation at that point in time, to progress with the Minsk Agreement andeffectively resolve a major part of the conflict. I do not think that Crimea will everfind its way back to Ukraine but if all other matters are resolved, a financialsettlement would be considered.Therefore the status of “frozen conflict” in the Donbass area would remain in theshort to medium term but the economy of Ukraine has been operating for a numberof years now without the Donbass and the annexed to Russia Crimea. All growthestimates published by various international institutes incorporate similarassumptions.Banking SectorIn the past 3 years there has been a clean-up by the National bank of Ukraine(NBU) with the support of IMF mainly as well as of EBRD and IFC. The numberof banks has been reduced from 192 to 92 and there are still banks that will beliquidated. The most drastic action was the nationalisation of Privatbank, thebiggest bank in the country (market share 17.7% by assets, 36% of deposits ofphysical persons), owned by an oligarch that was posing a systemic risk to thecountry’s economy and which was found to be insolvent mainly because of badlending practices with loans extended to related parties. However, Privatbank isservicing 20 million customers providing to them state-of-the-art digital banking5and other electronic services. IMF has demanded that the resolution of this issue aswell as the recapitalisation of other banks, as it resulted from the AQRs performedby NBU, is a prerequisite for the disbursement of its 4th tranche which in fact wasexecuted successfully by the Ukrainian administration.As a result the banking sector presented record losses in 2016 of US$6.2 billion(Privatbank US$5.2 billion). 1Q17 is already in profit (US$220 million) and isexpected to continue increasing throughout the year.The current landscape is that 40 banks make up the 98% of the assets, the top 20the 90.2%, the top 10 the 74% and of which 10 the top 4 banks are state owned andmake up the 52% of the assets.Top 20 banks in UkraineFor the State Owned Banks, namely Privatbank, Oschadbank, Ukrexim andUkrgas, the plan is that they prepare them for sale in the medium term, in around2-3 years. To this purpose EBRD mostly and IFC to a lesser extent has beenassisting the Government by placing directors in the Supervising Boards of thesebanks, so that corporate governance is implemented.6The Russian government owned banks, making up the 8.4% of the banking assets,are heavily undercapitalised being below the required norms because ofunderprovided problematic loan portfolios with NBU imposing certain sanctions.Moreover, there have been many aggressive actions from Ukrainian activistsbecause of the war conflict and all of them, namely Sberbank, VTB (controls twobanks in Ukraine, VTB and BM Bank) and Prominvestbank, have announced theirdeparture by selling the banks. So far the sale of Sberbank has been agreed toNorvik bank of Latvia that belongs to individuals of Russian origin, pending theapproval from the NBU.The banks with Ukrainian capital in the top 20 banks share 6% of assets with themost notable being FUIB of Mr Akhmetov.ProposalI would propose the acquisition of a profitable bank with lower than the averageNPL portfolio, operated by a West European shareholder, with a reasonable marketshare and of a digestible acquisition price in order to capture the projected 4-yeareconomic growth trend in Ukraine (base scenario by IMF and EBRD) in a marketwith:▪ Small competitionAnalysing the current landscape of the top 20 banks that command around 90%market share of assets, there are very few banks that would be competent topursue business development given their specific circumstances.The state owned banks that command the 52% are obviously bothered withtrapped legacy and corporate governance issues. All four banks are alsopreparing for their potential privatisation, however, the task of transforming thementality of the staff of these banks to that similar of a private one should beclose to impossible, at least for a period of 3 years. I would have thought thattheir liquidity would be most probably invested in government titles rather thanpursuing loans aggressively by competing at low interest rates.The Russian government owned banks that command 8.4% are already at the“sales process” stage and I believe that there will be no European investors thatwould invest in such banks that are undercapitalised as officially NBU hasconfirmed, with most of their loans being NPEs.7!!!Effectively the banks that could compete and have the size and access tocheaper foreign exchange funding as well as trade finance capabilities areRaiffeisen, Ukrsib, Credit Agricole and OTP accounting for 12.6% collectively.Raiffeisen is engaged in dealing with the retail business and the work out oftheir NPLs. However, its long-serving CEO Mr Lavrenchuk is rumoured tobecome the Governor of NBU and the management team will be replaced withexpatriates from Raiffeisen’s head office. This move will create a major upset inthe bank’s structure and may result to a major change in strategy with aconsiderable time to be needed for bringing the bank back to smooth operation.Alfa who have bought over Unicredito’s Ukrsots bank (6.5% combined) andwho have historically being engaged in retail lending and large corporatesshould continue to pursue this business and should devote resources to themerger with Ukrsots and manage the business lending that should take sometime to grasp. Rumours say that they will initiate the merger process in not lessthan a year and already they have discontinued new business lending servicingexisting customers only.FUIB have been given a plan to recapitalise the bank or decrease their assetsand therefore they are out of the business for the time being.ING and Citi are providing large corporate and investment banking servicesonly.▪ Improving quality of borrowersFollowing the improvement in collecting taxes and the enactment of newlegislation, and therefore decreasing the non-declared income, as well as thesignificant increase in commodity prices and the increase in disposable income,credit affordability has increased among business and individuals.▪ Increasing loans and deposits that suffice for the credit growthEvolution of loans and deposits 2015-2021The European prospect of Ukraine that is supported not only politically butalso from the international financial institutions along with the effort of the8government to execute the structural reforms and hence achieve the economicgrowth projected, should allow the access of the Ukrainian enterprises to theEuropean market and lead to further consolidation in the banking market.In particular the loans market should increase and is projected by IMF atUS$17.5 billion in the period 2018-2021 (9.9% CAGR). It is anticipated thatthere will be a significant demand for investment loans so that SMEs and largecorporates invest in infrastructure in order to produce products and services atstandards accepted in the EU countries.Deposits are increasing (1Q17: 1.3% comprising increase in UAH deposits of3.8% and decrease in FC of 1.9% mainly due to the repayment of foreigncurrency guaranteed deposits of liquidated banks back in hryvnia). The trend isexpected to increase because of the return of trust to the public (estimatedmoney “under the mattresses” US$6-10 billion).▪ Potential for high commission incomeCommission income in 2016 amounted to US$922 million representing 34% ofthe total banking revenue (25% for banks with foreign capital) exceeding theaverage of the European banks. The most significant types of commission arerelated to foreign exchange and money transfers. The difference in the share ofcommissions in the banking revenue between the banks with foreign capital andthe banking sector average is mainly due to the fact that state owned banks arethe exclusive banking providers for the government organisations. There areactions from the Banks’ Association to change to ratings criteria to introducefair competition.In 2016 total commissions returned 2.8% on assets. Considering that thesector’s balance comprises 37% cash and securities, this return is deemed high.In general Ukrainians are accustomed to high commissions and in paying forservices. Commission income is expected to grow even further as exports anddisposable income would be growing.▪ Consolidation prospectOpportunity to participate in the forthcoming consolidation of the sector,ripping the benefits of acquiring customers from state owned banks at least andgrow organically.9Ukrsib bankI have considered a number of banks (Appendix I) and given my experience in thecountry, Ukrsib is my top choice for the following reasons:▪ Image of a European reliable, ethical, healthy bank with good electronicbanking solutions (Top 5 in 2017) servicing first class corporate customers andtheir employees. The shareholders comprise BNP Paribas (60%) and EBRD(40%).▪ Good coverage ratio of problematic loans, a practice of French banks we haveobserved in many occasions with recent experience in Greece with CreditAgricole and Soc Gen.The NPL ratio is 31% (EUR 301 million), less than the 36.4% average forbanks with foreign capital, and coverage of around 80%. From the 2016 auditedannual accounts, the remaining 20% net of reserves NPL portfolio is covered 4times by collateral. The most problematic loans population has been that ofmortgages in foreign currency and it seems that Ukrsib has provisioned this partadequately.Loans portfolio quality(31.12.2016)€mnMortgagesOthermortgagesConsumerloansOverdraftsOtherloansTotalNeither past due norimpairedHigh grade 0.2 5 0.1 508 513.3Medium grade 0Low grade 4 4Without ranking (up to 1year)Without ranking (1-10years)Without ranking (morethan 10 years)Total neither past duenor impairedPast due but notimpaired1 3 21 7 13.3 45.320 3 20 0.1 3 46.145 5 5066.2 15 41 7.2 529.3 658.710less than 10 daysoverdue2 0.2 0.5 0.1 2.811-30 days overdue 1 0.1 0.2 1.331-90 days overdue 0.5 0.591-180 days overdue181-360 days overdueover 360 days overdueTotal past due but notimpaired3 0.3 1.2 0.1 0 4.6Loans to be impairednot yet past due 5 13 0.7 27 45.7less than 10 daysoverdue0.3 0.3 0.611-30 days overdue 0.1 0.131-90 days overdue 3 6 991-180 days overdue 4 11 0.4 15.4181-360 days overdue 8 22 0.3 30.3over 360 days overdue 149 20 2.5 0.6 28 200.1Total loans to beimpairedTotal loans beforeprovisions169.4 66 3.9 0.6 61.3 301.2240 82 46 8 591 967Provisions -140 -38 -5 -1 -55 -239Net loans 100 44 41 7 536 72811Net Loans coverage by collateral value(31.12.2016)€mn31th of December 2016 31th of December 2015AssetsbalancevalueFair value ofcollateralsAssetsbalance valueFair valueofcollateralsMortgagesNeither past due nor impaired 65 213 109 393Past due but not impaired 3 12 10 27Loans determined to beimpaired31 168 104 242Other mortgagesNeither past due nor impaired 15 62 78 192Past due but not impaired 0.3 4 9 7Loans determined to beimpaired28 97 31 109Consumer loansNeither past due nor impaired 41 5 30 8Past due but not impaired 1 0.2 1 0.3Loans determined to beimpaired0.1 2 0.3 2OverdraftsNeither past due nor impaired 7 2 6 4Past due but not impaired 0.1 0.2Loans determined to beimpairedOther loansNeither past due nor impaired 519 150 419 98Past due but not impaired 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3Loans determined to beimpaired17.4 33 3 10Total 728 748.3 800.6 1092.6Total loans net ofimpairment76.5 300 138.3 363Collateral coverage 392% 262%12▪ Large clientele of about 2 million customers (including 150,000 businesscustomers) serviced out of 378 branches with excellent retail product offering,for which, however, the know-how contribution of Paris must have beensignificant. They are also offering private banking and asset managementservices in cooperation with their Swiss subsidiaries.▪ They are leaders in trade finance, assisted by their operations in Switzerland.They have corporate relations with the best local enterprises and they cross selltheir retail services to their customers and their partners.Loans portfolio by sectors€mn31th of December 2016 31th of December 2015€mn % €mn %Individuals 319 33.0 374 39.6Trade and finance 251 25.9 196 20.8Agriculture and food industry 231 23.9 190 20.1Telecommunication services 61 6.3 107 11.3Transport services 47 4.9 2 0.2Manufacturing 26 2.7 11 1.2Chemical undustry 11 1.1 13 1.4Construction 9 0.9 13 1.4Transport vehicles trade 4 0.4 18 1.9Gas and oil 4 0.4 12 1.3Minning and metallurgy 3 0.3 3 0.3Other 1 0.2 5 0.5Total loans (beforeprovisions)967 100.0 944 100.0The product mix in the loans portfolio that is not in delay is 81% business and 19%retail lending with business lending focusing in the agricultural sector.▪ Excellent funding mix with the majority being current accounts at low cost.13Customer accounts€mn31th ofDecember201631th ofDecember2015Current accountslegal entities 301 303individuals 624 489Total current accounts 925 792Term depositslegal entities 276 349individuals 80 129Total term deposits 356 478Total customer accounts 1281 1270Customer accounts by sectors€mn31th of December 2016 31th of December 2015€mn % €mn %Individuals 406 32 417 33Manufacturing 219 17 213 17Trade 446 35 437 34Financial services 96 8 91 7Transport and connection 87 7 83 7Culture and education services 17 1 17 1Other 10 1 12 1Total customer accounts 1281 101 1270 100▪ High commissions covering their staff costs (2016: 112%). Net commissionsmake up the 32% of their Net Banking Revenue and yielding 3% on Assets.14!!!!▪ The published financial statements for 1Q17 are “cleaner” in terms of “grossedup” balances such as accruals of NPLs and therefore present a better base toproject 2017 financial results.151Q 2017 P&L€ mnUkrsibbankQ1 2017 Q1 2016Interest income 29 38Interest expense -6 -14Net interest income 23 24Net commission income 12 10Trading & other income 3 7Employee costs -10 -9Depreciation -1 -1Administrative and otheroperating costs-6 -6Other provisions 0 0General & Admin.Expenses-18 -16Pre Provision Income 20 25Provision for loanimpairment-9 -56Profit before tax 11 -31Income tax expense -2 -0Net profit 8 -31Please see summary of 2016 audited financial statements for Ukrsib, Ukrgasand Raiffeisen as well as their 1Q17 statements in Appendix I.▪ The bank is overcapitalised at 21.37% CAD mainly due to subordinated debtprovided by EBRD in USD during the years of crisis. About EUR 135 millionwere outstanding at 1.5% (1Q17: EUR 104 million) with their contribution toregulatory capital being EUR 73 million which is equivalent to 7.51% CADratio. The minimum CAD required by NBU is 10%. 71% of the subordinated isdue to be repaid in 2019.16Regulatory Capital€mn31 December2016Tier 1 146,079Additional Capital-Sub Debt 72,515Deductions -12,167Total Regulatory Capital 206,427CAD Ratio 21.37%Implied RWA 965,965Regulatory Capital excludingAdditional 133,912CAD Ratio Adjusted 13.86%Due to the large interest margins and the high commissions, the capital to becreated from profits is growing faster than the reduction of the capitalcontributed by the subordinated debt.******************************************************************Although Raiffeisen has already undergone a sales process twice, the last being 3years ago, without success, I still consider the amount of its equity at EUR 350million a very large amount to invest for gaining 0.8% more market share than thatof Ukrsib.This information is as much I could gather but I will meet with EBRD for otherreasons and will try to extract more information mostly on the intentions of BNP indealing with their Ukrainian presence. From what I know EBRD’s 40% isconsidered exceptionally high as equity participation percentage comparing to theirusual 10-15% and most probably they would be willing to listen to exit scenarios,possibly remaining as shareholders at a lower percentage.I think it is too early to discuss potential price but having EBRD inside already Iwould assume that 1x less due diligence adjustments should be the maximum,17possibly around 0.8, with 0.5x being the floor. An indicative amount for buying the90% of the shares with EBRD holding the remaining 10% should be in the regionof EUR 110 million.I expect that an IRR greater than 25% can be achieved considering the profitabilityof the current assets at c. EUR 50 million excluding trading gains, the additionalprofitability from organic expansion in lending at the levels assumed by IMF forthe banking market and assuming that the exit from the investment will beachieved at the same multiple as that of the entry level (0.8x).I am available at any time to discuss the above. Should your investors be interestedin the project I would be more than happy to meet them and arrange their meetingwith EBRD. The next step following our meeting with EBRD would be to meetBNP and, in case they accept a bilateral process, to arrange and manage the dealprocess. As discussed my main objective is to lead manage the bank with acompetent management team, to be compensated by “sweat equity”, and lookingforward to be a major participant in the consolidation of the industry.I will also send to you the latest benchmarking review of the banking sector we arepreparing for your perusal.Best regards,Yannis18Appendix 1 -2016 Balance Sheet€ mnAssets 31 /12/16Cash and cashequivalents, bankingmetalsAccounts in NBU andother banksUkrsibbank Ukrgasbank Raiffeisen Bank Aval31 /12/1531 /12/1631 /12/1531 /12/1631 /12/1568 475 88 152 362 480561 9 229 353 358 244Derivatives 0 0 0 1 0 0Loans and advances tocustomers728 799 716 535 985 964Trading securities 0 0 14 0 28 9Investment securitiesavailable-for-saleInvestment securitiesheld-to-maturitySecurities at fair valuethrough profit or lossFixed and intangibleassets136 252 704 318 0 00 0 35 115 0 00 0 0 0 74 7745 45 53 44 83 98Investment property 1 0 2 2 4 6Investments insubsidiaries0 13 0 0 2 8Assets held-for-sale 0 0 40 37 2 0Deferred income taxassets and currentincome tax prepaymentOther financial andnon-financial assets38 43 3 3 39 5020 19 13 11 33 20Total assets 1,596 1,656 1,897 1,585 1,970 1,954LiabilitiesDue to NBU and otherbanks1 0 59 354 22 88Derivatives 2 0 1 1 0 0Customer accounts 1,282 1,270 1,625 1,049 1,561 1,523Provisions for liabilitiesand other liabilities33 26 26 17 33 24Subordinated debt 135 291 0 0 0 80Total liabilities 1,452 1,587 1,710 1,421 1,616 1,71519EquityShare capital 178 68 487 528 217 235Acquired propertyrights on sharesResult of operationswith shareholders0 0 -18 -20 0 00 0 -39 -42 0 0Emission differences 29 31 0 0 0 0Additional paid-incapital0 0 5 5 107 116Other provisions 0 0 21 -5 44 50Retained profit/losses -63 -30 -269 -303 -13 -162Net equity 144 69 186 164 354 239Total liabilities andequity1,596 1,656 1,897 1,585 1,970 1,954Appendix 1 –2016 Profit & Loss €mn20Ukrsibbank Ukrgasbank Raiffeisen BankAval2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015Interest income 142 157 193 134 232 237Interest expence -44 -65 -167 -106 -58 -86Net interest income 98 93 25 28 174 151Net commissionincome46 61 12 8 67 65Trading&other income 20 12 -0 -1 30 25Employee costs -38 -40 -20 -16 -53 -50Depreciation -6 -8 -4 -2 -12 -13Administrative andother operating costs-23 -29 -22 -18 -50 -50Other provisions 0 0 -1 -5 -9 0General & Admin.Expenses-67 -76 -48 -41 -124 -113Pre Provision Income 98 90 -11 -5 147 129Provision for loanimpairment-127 -93 20 17 1 -191Profit before tax -33 1 9 12 147 -62Income tax expense -2 -0 1 -2 -13 7Net profit -35 1 10 10 134 -5521Appendix 1 -1Q17 Balance Sheet€ mnUkrsibbank Ukrgasbank Raiffeisen BankAval31/3/1731/3/16 31/3/1731/3/16 31/3/1731/3/16AssetsCash and cashequivalents, bankingmetalsAccounts in NBU andother banks73 68 124 88 466 362471 561 260 229 253 358Derivatives 0 0 0 0 0 0Loans and advances tocustomers663 728 727 716 1,005 985Trading securities 0 0 13 14 36 28Investment securitiesavailable-for-saleInvestment securitiesheld-to-maturitySecurities at fair valuethrough profit or lossFixed and intangibleassets137 136 972 704 0 00 0 0 35 0 00 0 0 0 93 7445 45 52 53 82 83Investment property 1 1 2 2 4 4Investments insubsidiaries0 0 0 0 2 2Assets held-for-sale 0 0 38 40 2 2DTA and inc. tax prepay. 35 38 2 3 28 39Other financial and nonfinancialassets16 20 11 13 20 33Total Assets 1,440 1,596 2,201 1,897 1,992 1,970LiabilitiesDue to NBU and otherbanks0 1 54 59 18 22Derivatives 0 2 0 1 0 0Customer accounts 1,162 1,282 1,956 1,625 1,547 1,56122Provisions for liabilitiesand other liabilities24 33 17 26 29 33Subordinated debt 104 135 0 0 0 0Total Liabilities 1,290 1,452 2,027 1,710 1,594 1,616EquityShare capital 175 178 478 487 213 217Acquired rights onsharesResult of operations withshareholders0 0 -18 -18 0 00 0 -38 -39 0 0Emission differences 28 29 0 0 0 0Additional paid-incapital0 0 5 5 105 107Other provisions 0 0 11 21 43 44Retained profit/losses -53 -63 -263 -269 38 -13Total Equity 150 144 174 186 398 354Total Liabilities andEquity1,440 1,596 2,201 1,897 1,992 1,97023Appendix 1 -1Q17 P&L € mn€ mnUkrsibbank Ukrgasbank Raiffeisen Bank AvalQ1 2017 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2016Interest income 29 38 51 43 57 55Interest expense -6 -14 -36 -37 -10 -17Net interestincomeNet commissionincomeTrading & otherincome23 24 15 5 46 3912 10 4 2 17 133 7 4 -17 7 10Employee costs -10 -9 -6 -4 -14 -12Depreciation -1 -1 -1 -1 -4 -324Administrative andother operatingcosts-6 -6 -6 -4 -12 -11Other provisions 0 0 -4 -0 -1 -0General & Admin.ExpensesPre ProvisionIncomeProvision for loanimpairment-18 -16 -17 -9 -31 -2720 25 6 -19 39 35-9 -56 -5 20 22 -10Profit before tax 11 -31 1 1 61 25Income tax expense -2 -0 -1 -0 -11 -2Net profit 8 -31 1 1 50 2325