File 026413
Epstein Files - Elon Musk - File 026413
Document from the Epstein Files collection mentioning Elon Musk.
From: jeffrey E. [jeeyacation@gmail.com]Sent: 7/24/2016 5:44:28 AMTo: Joscha BachlSubject: Re: Mechanisms for learningaverage humans is the wrong term. it is humans that are distributed think ant colony.( workers soldiers etc) not average ant. no such thing. in isolationOn Sun, Jul 24, 2016 at 1:23 AM, Joscha Bach < > wrote:Average humans are probably not fully able to learn how to program etc. Fraction of people that reshape theworld are at the right end of the Bell curves, so difference in variation means fewer women. We tend to bemore interested in the outliers. Have people explicitly evolved to be not to be too smart on average, or isgeneral intelligence so hard to get from human brains?Am 24.07.2016 um 00:20 schrieb jeffrey E. <jeevacation@gmail.com>:the average is the only thing that mattersOn Sat, Jul 23, 2016 at 6:02 PM, Joscha Bach <> wrote:Am 23.07.2016 um 04:41 schrieb jeffrey E. <jeevacation@gmail.com>:Cells seem to be mostly indistinguishable (except for XX), I thought?Size is different on average, but males with small brains are still male.Variation of all traits is higher for males, so there are more high IQ men (wider bell-curve). Given averagebrain size difference, the small difference in average IQ is surprising, I thinkgender differenece. unlikely motivational, every cell is different. size is didfferent. .the more radical idea is that brains are the nucleus of the human" cell: the body the membrane, . theorganizm the colletcions and interactions of brains, wisdom of crowds . mirroring. etc. . moneyused as signals. as is spoken language. . what does social behavior mean, it is the cooridiation of indivbrains. =I think that mathematics based thinking does not allow for censorship. money people concepts if theyare all math , then poliiical correctness and their structures are only subsets of a larger group ofthoughts. its not emotinal for me.most people have censorship built in at a deep level, social reasoning gets to different results than equivalentabstract reasoningOn Sat, Jul 23, 2016 at 3:02 AM, Joscha Bach < wrote:Some thoughts I meant to send back for a long time:HOUSE OVERSIGHT 026413no worry, if i understand correctly you are suggsting there are layers 1 through N. lets cal them L 1 -Ln. there are times T 1- Tn / and then conjecture that changing the time . correlations ( by genetic swtchor other method. , you might be able to make blacks smarter by changing the time for motor layerdevelopment and changing the time for other layers. . ). like telemeres for the cell , are their equivalentsfor the layers. . as you talked about culling the unused neurons in each layer, each neuron in each layerwould get dfferent ( kill yourself if you are not being used instructions ).Exactly. I looked up the statistics, black kids in the US have slower cognitive development (and never catchup), which the study of course attributed to social factors without any evidence, and they had faster motordevelopment! I suspect this means their brains are slower at learning high-level concepts, because the low-level structures are optimized for a shorter time. But they will keep the lead in motor development, because itis easier to learn, and they have more time and attention to practice once they get the structures in place.It could also be that they have an additional set of learning directives in place that adapts them better to amore hunting/running style of life, whereas the Europeans had to adapt for identifying long-term seasonalpatterns, delayed gratification for agriculture etc.and CONCEPTS could be layer to layer communicaiton. . are gender differences also a matter of time,and structure of interactions. .I suspect gender differences are mostly motivational, i.e. we have a reward system for all the different socialand cognitive needs, which makes us receive different kinds of pleasure and pain, thereby pay attention andlearn. You cannot learn what does not attract your attention. Women tend to find abstract systems, conflictsand mechanisms intrinsically boring. Most women in computer science do not write programs because theyenjoy solving puzzles, but because they want to help people, get approval etc. There are almost no women inmath, because it does not help people or yield social attention.Men tend to find elaborate social relations boring. If there is no pleasure in observing and empathizing withpeople, one will not have good social cognition.IQ is not the only meaningful difference. Chinese pay an inordinate amount of attention to authority. Isuspect historically., the authorities tended to kill them a lot if they did not. Jews tend be intellectuallyindependent and anti-authoritarian, which might make them creative and inventive in ways that are hard tofind in Asia.At the moment, I think speed/quality of brain development plus motivational system are the key tounderstanding both mind and individual differences. Important part of human language might be the result ina motivational need to discover/invent grammatical structure, which as a side effect makes us interested inmusic.It would mean that Chomsky's life long hypothesis, that people have a special circuit for grammaticallanguage, is wrong. They might be GENERAL learners, just like Gorillas, but with a strong motivationalurge to build grammatical structure, which the brain simply invents (there are only a few ways in which anatural language can work). That is much easier to wire into a brain than a specific circuit.i my self believe that african music, westrn music , chinese music are a window into the the structure ofthose layers. . western rigid, african primitve , chinese nature based, . I belive that synphoic movmentsbest describe your layering, they open with a basic simple melody„ after it is learned, it is repeated andHOUSE OVERSIGHT 026414" developed" , inverted, distorted, related, etc. the development stage take a long time. then there is arecapitlaltion of the whole. and its inter and intra actions. . african musci has lots of beats. and littledevelopment. - no accident, it mirrors their learning process.Interesting question if music is somehow indicative of genetically defined prefs, but I am not sure. It couldbe path effects, starting in culture.re taboo, maybe climate change is a good way of dealing with overpopulation.fire. potentailly a good thing for the species. the earths forestMaking having children expensive in terms of upbringing and missed opportunity (like in the west) is a morehumane way. Environmental stress while leaving near rock bottom tends to lead people to have morechildren, because there is no missed opportunity, and high mortality requires more attempts at procreation.Humans are a hardy species, outside of focused famine events and wars only small fractions of any givenpopulation die.I suspect that strong reductions in population will come from large-scale failure of agriculture. The climatechange itself with result in migration and wars, but most people will probably survive that. But who knows, Imight be wrong.too many people, so many mass executions of the elderly and infirm make senseis the fundamental fact that everyone dies at some time .make it imporrisbole to ask so whynot earilier. if the brain discards unused neurons, why shold socieity keep their equivalentThe radical idea of treating individuals in a society as cells and the society itself as a well-organizedorganism is fascism, or course. Probably the most efficient and rationally stringent way of governance, ifsomeone could pull it off in a sustainable way; and if it is aggressive and expansive, its efficiency makes it avirus that everybody will want to stomp out. Fascism makes romantic doo-gooders like me veryuncomfortable (I visited KZ Buchenwald five times and it had a profound influence on me; we East Germansinoculated ourselves very thoroughly against fascism), and the general public will not be willing to considerit.I rather like the treatment Fascism gets in the Amazon Series "The Man in the High Castle", which exploreswhat would have happened if the Germans and Japanese had won the war: A society that tries to function asa brutal and ruthlessly efficient machine, eliminating all social and evolutionary slack. It is very dark, but nota flat caricature of pointless evil for its own sake. Heinlein's late book "Starship Troopers" explores fascism,too, but unlike Philipp K Dick he does not see it as a form of insanity, but as the most desirable order.I find your "political incorrectness" very fascinating. In the beginning, I thought it is a form of costlysignaling, but now I think you are simply entirely unconstrained in your thoughts. How did you manage inyour youth? Did you get in trouble, or did you keep your thoughts to yourself? I wonder what kind of personyou want to transform into.It was interesting to notice that at the Forbidden Research conference, nobody managed to say anythingremotely out-of line. One large discussion group wanted to address the question of whether "democracy stillworks", and mostly expressed their disagreement with Trump. Ideology is like halitosis: easy to see in others,hard in oneself A speaker felt that the media "stifle all criticism of Trump", another wanted to remove "menand Elon Musk from government", and everybody strongly agreed that we need more diversity everywhere.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 026415I noticed some time ago that Joi has remarkable public communication skills. He picks controversial, insight-laden topics, but sanitizes them by carefully replacing the parts of content that would divide his audiencewith symbolic messages that everybody can fill with their own content in a way that resonates with them.The non-controversial parts will still be insightful. He manages to come across as very subversive, whilerarely offending anyone (except the hard scientists, that miss hard substance).He also asks influential people and smart students or faculty to write parts of his essays and speeches forhim. This invests them in his success, especially because he is going to reward and acknowledge them. Veryfew of his ideas are original, instead he is good at identifying and testing thoughts he reads or hears fromothers.I am still beset by the ruinous instinct that the goal of communication ought to be mutual understanding. Joiis right. Public communication is about reaching one's goals.Bests,JoschaOn Sun, Jul 10, 2016 at 12:42 AM, Joscha Bach . I> wrote:Dear Jeffrey,thank you for your support and encouragement, even where I fail.Sorry for being such an embarrassment today. I will spell out today's argument a bit better and cohesivewhen I get to it. Also, I should have recognized that the main point I tried to make would trigger Noam(who was as always very generous, patient, kind and humble on the personal level, even though he did notfeel like conceding anything on the conceptual one). Almost all of Noam's work focused on the idea thathumans have very specific circuits or modules (even when most people in his field began to have otherideas), and his frustration is that it is so hard to find or explain them.I found Noam's hypothesis very compelling in the past. I still think that the idea that language is somehow acultural or social invention of our species is wrong. But I think that there is a chance (we don't know that,but it seems to most promising hypothesis IMHO) that the difference between humans and apes is not avery intricate special circuit, but genetically simple developmental switches. The bootstrapping of cognitionworks layer by layer during the first 20 years of our life. Each layer takes between a few months and a fewyears to train in humans. While a layer is learned, there is not much going on in the higher layers yet, andafter the low level learning is finished, it does not change very much. This leads to the characteristic burstsin child development, that have famously been described by Piaget.The first few layers are simple perceptual stuff, the last ones learn social structure and self-in-society. Theswitching works with something like a genetic clock, very slowly in humans, but much more quickly inother apes, and very fast in small mammals. As a result, human children take nine months before theirbrains are mature enough to crawl, and more than a year before they can walk. Many African populationsare quite a bit faster. In the US, black children outperform white children in motor development, even invery poor and socially disadvantaged households, but they lag behind (and never catch up) in cognitivedevelopment even after controlling for family income.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 026416Gorillas can crawl after 2 months, and build their own nests after 2.5 years. They leave their mothers at 3-4years. Human children are pretty much useless during the first 10-12 years, but during each phase, theirbrains have the opportunity to encounter many times as much training data as a gorilla brain. Humans areliterally smarter on every level, and because the abilities of the higher levels depend on those of the lowerlevels, they can perform abstractions that mature gorillas will never learn, no matter how much we try totrain them.The second set of mechanisms is in the motivational system. Motivation tells the brain what to pay attentionto, by giving reward and punishment. If a brain does not get much reward for solving puzzles, the individualwill find mathematics very boring and won't learn much of it. If a brain gets lots of rewards for discoveringother people's intentions, it will learn a lot of social cognition.Language might be the result of three things that are different in humans:- extended training periods per layer (after the respective layer is done, it is difficult to learn a new set ofphonemes or the first language)- more layers- different internal rewards. Perhaps the reward for learning grammatical structure is the same that makes uslike music. Our brains may enjoy learning compositional regular structure, and they enjoy makingthemselves understood, and everything else is something the universal cortical learning figures out on itsown.This is a hypothesis that is shared by a growing number of people these days. In humans, it is reflected forinstance by the fact that races with faster motor development have lower IQ. (In individuals of the samegroup, slower development often indicates defects, of course.)Another support comes from machine learning: we find that the same learning functions can learn visualand auditory pattern recognition, and even end-to-end-learning. Google has built automatic imagerecognition into their current photo app:http://blogs.wsj . com/digits/2015/07/01/go o gle-mistakenly-tags-black-p eop le-as-gorillas-showing-limits-o f-algorithms/The state of the art in research can do better than that: it can begin to "imagine" things. I.e. when theexperimenter asks the system to "dream" what a certain object looks like, the system can produce asomewhat compelling image, which indicates that it is indeed learning visual structure. This stuff issomething nobody could do a few months ago:http://www.creativeai.net/posts/Mv4WG6rdzAerZF7ch/synthesizing-preferred-inputs-via-deep-generator-networksA machine learning program that can learn how to play an Atari game without any human supervision orhand-crafted engineering (the feat that gave DeepMind 500M from Google) now just takes about 130 linesof Python code.These models do not have interesting motivational systems, and a relatively simple architecture. Theycurrently seem to mimic some of the stuff that goes on in the first few layers of the cortex. They learn objectfeatures, visual styles, lighting and rotation in 3d, and simple action policies. Almost everything else ismissing. But there is a lot of enthusiasm that the field might be on the right track, and that we can learnmotor simulations and intuitive physics soon. (The majority of the people in Al do not work on this,however. They try to improve the performance for the current benchmarks.)Noam's criticism of machine translation mostly applies to the Latent Semantic Analysis models that Googleand others have been using for many years. These models map linguistic symbols to concepts, and relateconcepts to each other, but they do not relate the concepts to "proper" mental representations of whatHOUSE OVERSIGHT 026417objects and processes look like and how they interact. Concepts are probably one of the top layers of thelearning hierarchy, i.e. they are acquired *after* we learn to simulate a mental world, not before. Classicallinguists ignored the simulation of a mental world entirely.It seems miraculous that purely conceptual machine translation works at all, but that is because concepts areshared between speakers, so the structure of the conceptual space can be inferred from the statistics oflanguage use. But the statistics of language use have too little information to infer what objects look likeand how they interact.My own original ideas concern a few parts of the emerging understanding of what the brain does. The"request-confirmation networks" that I have introduced at a NIPS workshop in last the December are anattempt at modeling how the higher layers might self-organize into cognitive programs.Cheers!Joschaplease noteThe information contained in this communication isconfidential, may be attorney-client privileged, mayconstitute inside information, and is intended only forthe use of the addressee. It is the property ofJEEUnauthorized use, disclosure or copying of thiscommunication or any part thereof is strictly prohibitedand may be unlawful. If you have received thiscommunication in error, please notify us immediately byreturn e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, anddestroy this communication and all copies thereof,including all attachments. copyright -all rights reservedplease noteThe information contained in this communication isconfidential, may be attorney-client privileged, mayconstitute inside information, and is intended only forthe use of the addressee. It is the property ofJEEUnauthorized use, disclosure or copying of thiscommunication or any part thereof is strictly prohibitedand may be unlawful. If you have received thiscommunication in error, please notify us immediately byreturn e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, andHOUSE OVERSIGHT 026418destroy this communication and all copies thereof,including all attachments. copyright -all rights reservedplease noteThe information contained in this communication isconfidential, may be attorney-client privileged, mayconstitute inside information, and is intended only forthe use of the addressee. It is the property ofJEEUnauthorized use, disclosure or copying of thiscommunication or any part thereof is strictly prohibitedand may be unlawful. If you have received thiscommunication in error, please notify us immediately byreturn e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, anddestroy this communication and all copies thereof,including all attachments. copyright -all rights reservedplease noteThe information contained in this communication isconfidential, may be attorney-client privileged, mayconstitute inside information, and is intended only forthe use of the addressee. It is the property ofJEEUnauthorized use, disclosure or copying of thiscommunication or any part thereof is strictly prohibitedand may be unlawful. If you have received thiscommunication in error, please notify us immediately byreturn e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, anddestroy this communication and all copies thereof,including all attachments. copyright -all rights reservedHOUSE OVERSIGHT 026419