File 031136
Email with Financial Market Analysis and Political Commentary (File 031136)
An email forwarding a financial market analysis article by Bill Bonner discussing stock market valuations, Federal Reserve policy, and commentary on the 2016 U.S. presidential election, sent to Jeffrey E. in May 2016.
Summary
Faith Kates forwards to Jeffrey E. an article from Bill Bonner's financial newsletter discussing the decline of U.S. stock valuations, reduced corporate share buybacks, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy impact on wealth distribution. The article critiques the concentration of economic benefits among top earners and includes analysis of gold market opportunities. The newsletter also features reader commentary supporting Donald Trump's economic platform and criticizing Federal Reserve policies.
From: Faith KatesSent: 5/18/2016 5:45:03 PMTo: jeffrey E. [jeeyacation@gmail.com]Subject: FW: Warning: The smart money is fleeing U.S. stocksMay 18, 2016Warning: The Smart MoneyIs Fleeing U.S. StocksBY BILL BONNER, CHAIRMAN, BONNER & PARTNERSDUBLIN — The Dow dropped 180 points yesterday — orabout 1%.And another clever billionaire says he is looking elsewherefor profits. Reuters:Activist investor Carl Icahn on Monday said there was a chance the stockmarket could suffer a big decline, saying valuations are rich and earnings atmany companies are fueled more by low borrowing costs than management'sefforts to boost results."I am very cautious on equities today. This market could easily have a bigdrop," Icahn said.Yes, dear reader, the smart money is getting out of U.S. stocks. And here's ourold friend Rob Marstrand explaining why:Right now, every measure that analyzes the S&P 500 says it's expensive. Pricesare high relative to earnings, net assets, sales, and cash flow.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031136What's more, there's plenty of evidence that the main thing propping up thestock prices is heavy buying by the companies themselves [via sharerepurchases].And now, that prop is getting kicked out from under the stock market.Bloomberg:After snapping up trillions of dollars of their own stock in a five-yearshopping binge that dwarfed every other buyer, U.S. companies from AppleInc. to IBM Corp. just put on the brakes.Announced repurchases dropped 38% to $244 billion in the last four months,the biggest decline since 2009...Recommended LinksRickards: "Warning, I've Changed My Thesis On Gold"I firmly believe we're at the beginning of the BIGGEST move the worldhas ever seen in gold. "Simple math" says $10,000 gold is all but certain. But, you'renot going to believe what I have to say next... BEFORE you buy a single ounce ofgold, read this important message.Last Chance: VIP Access To Doug Casey's Shocking 2016ForecastCasey fears a severe crisis is brewing. Not a currency collapse or stock market crash.A specific threat that could wreak more havoc than the Great Depression. That's whytomorrow, in an urgent broadcast event, Doug's pulling back the curtain on hisshocking warning. And revealing how to profit from it in the months ahead, in a bigway. Last chance to get VIP access ends tonight. Click here now for full details.Pareto's "Foxes"Although the bull market in U.S. stocks is probably near its end, the bullmarket in the Deep State shows no sign of weakening.Year after year, the power of the "foxes" grows.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031137It was the great Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto who noticed — among otherthings — that no matter what kind of government you think you have, there arealways some crafty insiders, the "foxes," who take control of it.Policies are set, programs are started... decisions are made... with no consentof the people or their elected officials; the foxes work the angles.Over time, the forces of law and order become more and more corrupt.., as thefoxes bend the entire system to do their bidding.Wars are started with no plan or intention to win them. Money is handed outfor no better reason than this: They can get away with it.And best of all, most people are none the wiser; they believe the myths... andattack anyone who challenges them.Rip-OffPerhaps the biggest rip-off of all time has taken place over the last eight years— and in plain sight of everybody.Via the magic of ultra-low rates, the Fed — a nest for the wiliest and mostcunning of the foxes — took roughly $8 trillion out of the pockets of savers andretirees and handed it to borrowers.Who is the world's biggest borrower?Yes... it's the Deep State itself.The Fed claimed to be helping to "stimulate" the economy. But you can't reallystimulate an economy by stealing from the people who produce wealth andprovide it with capital.Not surprisingly, growth has stalled. Wages have fallen. Productivity hasHOUSE OVERSIGHT 031138stagnated.For 95% of the male population, real earnings are lower today than they werein 1973.Is there any wonder many of these men vote for Donald Trump — a "strongman" who promises to do something about it?But the top 5% — where the foxes are — gained income. Their wages are upmore than 50% over the same time.Why?Because they take more and more money from the rest of us.More tomorrow... on a new Rebellion in Gualfin... and a measure of how bigthe Deep State has become...Regards,BillFurther Reading: The Deep State already controls just about every aspect ofAmerican life. From health care to education to the food on our tables to thenever-ending war on terror, this cadre of cronies is pulling the strings.In his latest online presentation, Bill exposes how the Deep State has nowpushed the world to the brink of an irreversible disaster. Learn more here ashe reveals how it will all unfold... and, more importantly, how it'll change yourlife forever.Market InsightHOUSE OVERSIGHT 031139BY CHRIS LOWE, EDITOR AT LARGEGeorge Soros is betting big on gold.As Bill reported yesterday, the billionaire speculator cut hisfirm's investments in U.S. stocks by more than one-third.Soros has also disclosed a new stake in the world's biggestgold miner, Barrick Gold (ABX).Soros Fund Management, his investment vehicle, bought a 1.7% of Barrick.This makes it Soros' biggest listed holding.As today's chart shows, Barrick has skyrocketed so far in 2016.The company's stock is up a jaw-dropping 156% year to date.Recommended LinksRead this BEFORE you buy gold or gold stocksDr. Steve Sjuggerud Reports: Most investors don't know this, butthere s a "Magic Number" that appears before EVERY big move in gold and EVERYbig move in gold stocks. What is it and is now the time to buy? Details here...Featured ReadsGold Price to Soar More Than 650%?One currencies expert says a "super spike" in gold prices is headed our way.Here, he explains what will cause it and, more importantly, how you canposition yourself to profit.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031140Share Buybacks Fall Most Since 2009U.S. share buybacks have fallen back to levels last seen in 2099. The newscomes amid the worst profit slump since the financial crisis.., and whenvaluations sit near 14-year highs.Why "Money Helicopters" Are Not the AnswerAlthough "helicopter money" — code for handing out free money — is nowbeing seriously discussed... what's really needed to boost growth are majorstructural reforms. The fate of the world depends on it.Recommended LinksExperience the Greatest Innovation in Shaving...for FreeYou only have 9 days left to enjoy the best shave of your life for free.Join thousands of men from around the world who are experiencingthe unrivaled performance OneBlade technology offers. Don't missout. Act now.OneBlade — Rethought. Retooled. Rebuilt.MailbagReaders continue to weigh in on the state of U.S. politics. Here are moreresponses to Monday's issue, "Trump's Biggest Deal."Sarah Palin will be the V.P. with Trump, and you may be surprised that theywill have a balance budget within three years. And with Obamacare repealed,job killing regulations eliminated, and corporate tax rates cut, it will make theU.S. more business friendly.— Christopher F.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031141Good God! Anything is better than just giving it to Hilary and herdespicable husband.— Judy P.Thanks for including Jefferson and von Mises, my favorite Galician, inthe list of good guys. Our economy cannot be repaired withoutdismantling the Fed. As you often point out, our monetary system isrotten at the core, as it is based on credit.I read in one of these letters from a libertarian source that Jeffersonwrote, already in 1810 or so, that he had failed to set up a free countryas he envisioned.., and that was still more than too years before theFederal Reserve Act.On the other hand, even today, I strongly believe that if we just followedthe Constitution, we would be okay — especially the loth amendment. Ithink that is the most important of all.— Chaim K.In the words of Warren Zevon, "Send lawyers, guns, and money; the s---has hit the fan."The Democratic Party is electing a known criminal, and they don't care,as long as it's their criminal. They just assume all politicians arecriminal, and the really good ones get their districts what they need.Would anyone let Harry Reid babysit their children? The RepublicanParty is electing anybody who is not a politician. Donald Trump justhappens to be the best known, "anybody" who is running.— Wayde L.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031142All I can say about Bill's message on Monday is: "Amen, brother! Amen!"He hit every nail right on the head.To those self-deluding worthies who think that a Donald Trumppresidency will solve all of America's problems I say, "Get your headsout of your collective a***s, because it ain't gonna happen."Trump will continue the policies (if we can laughably call them such) ofthe Deep State... with a dash of Adolph Hitler thrown in for goodmeasure. Clinton will be no better, if not worse.I'm with Bill — a vote for the lesser of two evils is still voting for evil.However, unlike him, I will vote, but for a third-party candidate whodoesn't have a snowball's chance of winning. A "wasted" vote is betterthan a vote for Trump or Hillary.— Dale A.I think you are correct in your assessment of the Deep State. I disagreein how to deal with it.It seems easy for the rich or the poor to walk away and state it doesn'tmatter. The poor because they do not have a choice; the rich becausethey do. For those of us in the middle we need to deal with it, lest weend up in the poor camp. For me, a decision that includes a less badscenario is still a decision worth pursuing.— Rudy R.In Case You Missed It...The third part of Doug Casey's "virtual workshop" on how to turn crises intowildly profitable investments goes live today.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031143In it, Doug pulls back the curtain on his shocking forecast for America in2016. And how he believes you could set yourself up to profit from it in a bigway... with just one decisive move.Go here to reserve your spot.EBonner & Partners I About Bill I The Archives I FAQLIKE BILL'S DIARY?Republish our articles on your website or blog for free. Learn HowHave feedback? ::ontact UsThis e-mail was sent to because you subscribed tothis service. It's not our intention to send e-mail to anyone who doesn't wantit.To cancel Bill Bonner's Diary,To cancel by mail or for any other subscription issues, write us at:Bill Bonner's Diary, 402 West Atlantic Ave., Suite 66, Delray Beach, FL33444011, USATo contact us, call , Mon-Fri: 9am-5pm or emailfeedbackabonnerandpartners.comHaving trouble getting your e-mails? Add us to your address book. GetInstructions here...Copyright 2016 Bonner & Partners and Bill Bonners' Diary, 402 West AtlanticAve., Suite 66, Delray Beach, FL 33444011, USA. All rights reserved. No partof this report may be reproduced or placed on any electronic medium withoutwritten permission from the publisher. Information contained herein isobtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot beguaranteed. Bill Bonner's Diary or its editors and publications do not advocatethe purchase or sale of any security or investment. Investments recommendedin this publication should be made only after consulting with your investmentadvisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of thecompany in question. Bill Bonner's Diary expressly forbids its writers fromhaving a financial interest in any security that they recommend to theirreaders. Furthermore, all other employees and agents of Bill Bonner's Diaryand its affiliate companies must wait 24 hours before following an initialrecommendation published on the Internet, or 72 hours after a printedpublication is mailed.HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031144Jeffrey KoganKogan Realty Group155 E 55th St., Ste 6-DNew York, NY 10022TEL:FAX:HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031145